Thursday 25 June 2015

Last preparations for Wimbledon

Last two days I invested a lot of time to find ways to be better prepared for a trading day. I developped a spreadsheet, which helps me to forecast the matches. Beside it's a great support to control the emotions during a trading session. Now I know in advance, when I enter or exit a market. Only in rare occacions - when my game reading tell it - I will change my initial idea.

Beside I made a final decision to lower my stakes. I already had this idea before, but I didn't change it yet. This adjustment gives me more opportunities to enter and re-enter markets. Without this step, I don't have room for maneuvers after the first (lost) trade. Often a second opportunity is coming during a tennis match. When you already shot the whole powder before, there is no more possibility to turn a bad trade in a good one.

I am well prepared for Wimbledon. The main draw of the tennis highlight of the year will start next Monday. The only part which will be strange for me is the "best of five rule". The last weeks (except Roland Garros which I didn't rade) the players only had to win two sets for a win. Fortunately the women - which I definitely prefer to trade on grass - play also at Wimbledon "best of three". Unfortunately I have to work on Monday (and will be the second week of the tournament in holidays), but I am sure that this big event will show if I am on the right track.

Tomorrow the half finals of the tournaments at Nottingham (ATP) and Eastbourne (WTA) will take place. Especially I am excited about the match between Belinda Bencic and Caroline Wozniacki. So far the Swiss played a super tournament, but Caro is another number than the opponents before. If the 18 year old can win this match, this would be the biggest success in her career. What I saw so far, this is not impossible. Nevertheless my favourite to win this tournament is Radwanska. In her last two matches she lost just seven games (against Pliskova and Pironkova which are definitely no mugs!) Would be delighting to see a final between Belinda and Aga...

4 comments:

  1. In the break of match(caro-petkovic yesterday caro complain to father that she still fill some pain so back her with low odds is not safe

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    1. Yes, I am surprised that she is huge favourite against Bencic. Odds around 1.30 to 1.35 are a joke. Fair value I see somewhere between 1.60 and 1.70...

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  2. Can you share the spreadsheet of yours with me if possible , it will be of great help to me ahead of wimby

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    1. Thanks for interest. It's no rocket science. I just make some notes if the match is intresting for me to trade. Big servers and too one sided matchups are normally not. So I just multiply these factors. If the rating is allright I define an entry point that depends on my trust. It would not help you, because is linked with my strategies.

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